'The statistical probably of Labour forming a majority government at the next election - to the nearest percentage point - is zero, while the most likely outcome on current showing is that the Conservatives will come back with an outright majority of 90, according to a new report.The analysis by Electoral Calculus, based on statistics and opinion polls, offers a wildly different conclusion to the gut instincts of some of the people who bet on politics, who believe Jeremy Corbyn in with a chance of victory.The Boundary Commission is currently examining how to reduce the number of MPs from its present level of 650 to 600 in time for the 2020 general election – though if Theresa May were to go for a snap election it would be fought on the current boundaries, which is one reason that she is likely to let the current Parliament run its full five year term.'
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