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Wednesday 4 February 2009

Quantitative Easing

FT Alphaville reports on Credit Suisse’s 12-page report on quantitative easing and currencies. Do read the whole piece but here's the conclusion about the UK:
"GBP: The pound has weakened sharply in anticipation of QE. A Balance of Payments structure that relied on debt inflows to permit a combination of elevated consumption and accumulation of leveraged foreign assets helped create an ‘international ALM mismatch’ that has now been exposed. Even at current valuations, we think GBP is vulnerable to QE because attempting to underpin a leveraged national balance sheet through sovereign debt expansion is inherently unstable given the threat of domestic capital flight. By contrast, GBP could benefit from successful US implementation of a bad bank plan that underpins broad asset price expectations."


So
"This means that while the US is still master of its own destiny, in the UK, QE is insufficient to fix the problem."


It all looks rather depressing doesn't it?

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