Monday, 8 August 2016

Labour has 0 per cent chance of forming majority government at next election, says electoral report per The Independent

'The statistical probably of Labour forming a majority government at the next election - to the nearest percentage point - is zero, while the most likely outcome on current showing is that the Conservatives will come back with an outright majority of 90, according to a new report.

The analysis by Electoral Calculus, based on statistics and opinion polls, offers a wildly different conclusion to the gut instincts of some of the people who bet on politics, who believe Jeremy Corbyn in with a chance of victory.

The Boundary Commission is currently examining how to reduce the number of MPs from its present level of 650 to 600 in time for the 2020 general election – though if Theresa May were to go for a snap election it would be fought on the current boundaries, which is one reason that she is likely to let the current Parliament run its full five year term.'

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