Earlier this morning we wrote about the obvious sampling bias in the latest ABC / Washington Post poll that showed a 12-point national advantage for Hillary. Like many of the recent polls from Reuters, ABC and The Washington Post, this latest poll included a 9-point sampling bias toward registered democrats.
"METHODOLOGY – This ABC News poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Oct. 20-22, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 874 likely voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 36-27-31 percent, Democrats - Republicans - Independents."
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Now, for all of you out there who still aren't convinced that the polls are "adjusted", we present to you the following Podesta email, leaked earlier today, that conveniently spells out, in detail, exactly how to "manufacture" the desired data. The email starts out with a request for recommendations on "oversamples for polling" in order to "maximize what we get out of our media polling."
The email even includes a handy, 37-page guide with the following poll-rigging recommendations. In Arizona, over sampling of Hispanics and Native Americans is highly recommended:I also want to get your Atlas folks to recommend oversamples for our polling before we start in February. By market, regions, etc. I want to get this all compiled into one set of recommendations so we can maximize what we get out of our media polling.
For Florida, the report recommends "consistently monitoring" samples to makes sure they're "not too old" and "has enough African American and Hispanic voters." Meanwhile, "independent" voters in Tampa and Orlando are apparently more dem friendly so the report suggests filling up independent quotas in those cities first.Research, microtargeting & polling projects
- Over-sample Hispanics
- Use Spanish language interviewing. (Monolingual Spanish-speaking voters are among the lowest turnout Democratic targets)
- Over-sample the Native American population
Meanwhile, it's suggested that national polls over sample "key districts / regions" and "ethnic" groups "as needed."- Consistently monitor the sample to ensure it is not too old, and that it has enough African American and Hispanic voters to reflect the state.
- On Independents: Tampa and Orlando are better persuasion targets than north or south Florida (check your polls before concluding this). If there are budget questions or oversamples, make sure that Tampa and Orlando are included first.
...- General election benchmark, 800 sample, with potential over samples in key districts/regions
- Benchmark polling in targeted races, with ethnic over samples as needed
- Targeting tracking polls in key races, with ethnic over samples as needed
And that's how you manufacture a 12-point lead for your chosen candidate and effectively chill the vote of your opposition. '
'Four people were injured when a car mounted a pavement and ploughed into a group of pedestrians.A woman was seriously injured in the hit and run in Humberstone Gate, Leicester, shortly before 17:00 GMT, police said.Eyewitnesses told the BBC they saw a car with a smashed windscreen being driven "erratically" after the crash.Others said the car appeared to have been deliberately driven at the group of pedestrians.'
'When Israel resident Jack de Lowe wanted to buy a wing mirror for his Ford Focus earlier this month, he finally tracked down the part to a garage in Oldham, northern England.Although thousands of miles from where he lives, he was interested in buying a used mirror, not a new one, and Ford Parts Oldham seemed the most cost-effective option.He was expecting to pay about £40 for the mirror but he was instead quoted the vastly inflated figure of £1,025.When he emailed the firm again to query the amount, he received the following response (all spelling errors contained in it are deliberately reproduced below):"As we do not recognise the state of israel we do not ship to such non exitent ountries hwoever delivery to palestin can be arranged at a sensible price."The message wasn't signed.News website Heat Street rang Ford Parts Oldham for confirmation that it had really sent the message:The manager and owner of the business, Mursal Israr, admitted he had sent it personally.He said he was justified in doing so because it is his right not to do business with an individual if he doesn't want to.
He said: "I sent the email myself…We don't recognise the illegal occupation of Israel. We don't believe in the illegal occupation of what is going on there and there's innocent Muslims and people are getting killed there on a daily basis so we don't wish to do any business with the state of Israel whatsoever because we don't recognise the state of Israel."'
'According to an NBC Associate Producer of the Forum, as soon as Clinton got off the set, she exploded. “Hillary proceeded to pick up a full glass of water and throw it at the face of her assistant, and the screaming started.” “She was in a full meltdown and no one on her staff dared speak with her – she went kind of manic and didn't have any control over herself at that point.” “How these people work with this woman is amazing to me. She really didn't seem to care who heard any of it.” “You really had to see this to believe it. She came apart – literally unglued; she is the most foul-mouthed woman I’ve ever heard … and that voice at screech level … awful!” “She screamed she’d get that f…..ing Lauer fired for this.” Referring to Donald Trump, Clinton said: “If that f - - - ing bastard wins, we all hang from nooses! Lauer’s finished...and if I lose it’s all on your heads for screwing this up.”Why would Hillary Clinton think that she and her aides would hang if Donald Trump gets elected? What are they guilty of?
'The last Labour government advocated the same migrant dental checks that have caused so much outrage among the Twitterati today.Back in 2007 the then immigration minister Liam Byrne said that dental checks had to be considered to prevent abuse of the system:"If it is true that a dental x-ray is able to establish within a more precise range an individuals' age than any other form of determination then I think we have really got to look very hard at that evidence. We cannot have adults in the children's system. Adults in the children's system, I believe, pose a serious threat to our obligation to protect children effectively."'
"We have to do a better job of making our people (voters) do what they are suposed to do. Not asking them, making them. Not expecting them and taking them for granted but beating the shit out of them and then making them do it."
'In this explosive new video from Project Veritas Action, a Democratic dirty tricks operative unwittingly provides a dark money trail to the DNC and Clinton campaign. The video documents violence at Trump rallies that is traced to the Clinton campaign and the DNC through a process called birddogging.and here it is...
A shady coordinated communications chain between the DNC, Clinton Campaign, Hillary Clinton’s Super PAC (Priorities) and other organizations are revealed. A key Clinton operative is on camera saying, “It doesn’t matter what the friggin’ legal and ethics people say, we need to win this motherfucker."'
'The resolution repeatedly denounced Israeli actions, including the use of force, imposition of restrictions on Muslim worshippers and archaeological work. Israel regards such criticism as politically motivated.'That line comes from this BBC report on UNESCO's latest anti-Israel move.
"Israeli actions, including... restrictions on Muslim worshipper"That line is fascinating especially as it's actually Jews that are banned from worshipping on the Temple Mount, the holiest site in Judaism, whilst Muslims worship in a mosque there, a mosque that was built on top of the ruins of the Jewish Temple.
'A Tory MP who called for child migrants arriving in the UK from Calais to have their teeth tested to verify their ages has been condemned by dentists.A number of unaccompanied children from the "Jungle" camp have arrived to join relatives in the UK - amid suggestions they could be adults trying to get in.David Davies, MP for Monmouth, said mandatory teeth checks would reassure people the UK was not being exploited.But the British Dental Association said such checks would be unethical.The BDA, which represents dentists and dental students in the UK, also disputed claims that dental radiographs can accurately determine whether someone is under the age of 18 or not.British and French officials have begun registering unaccompanied children in Calais, with the first children with links to the UK having arrived this week.However, photographs of some of the children have been printed on the front pages of some national newspapers, along with headlines questioning their ages.''
Absolutely fascinating and the anti-police 'journalists' at the BBC should be made to watch it before they next opine about trigger-happy police.
'In this video I explain the reality of reaction time and the OODA loop in police shootings as well as demonstrate the speed at which a threat can get off a shot while you are trying to decide whether they are armed. Many people doubt the logic behind Police training. I have attended many police funerals of those officers who were killed by suspects bringing a firearm out of a vehicle.'
'A man died just hours after he was brutally beaten and threatened with being set alight by his neighbour, who was angry with him for having voted for Brexit, a court has heard.'
'Jeremy Corbyn has been strongly condemned by the Home Affairs Select Committee for failing to understand anti-Semitism and creating a"safe space" for racists in the Labour Party. The inquiry's damning findings are laid out in as severe language as you will ever see from a select committee:"Despite his proud record on fighting racism, the Committee is not persuaded that Mr Corbyn fully appreciates the distinct nature of contemporary antisemitism, and the fact that it is perfectly possible for an 'anti-racist campaigner' to express antisemitic views. His lack of consistent leadership on this issue has created what some have referred to as a 'safe space' for those with vile attitudes towards Jewish people, exacerbated by the Party's demonstrable incompetence at dealing with members accused of antisemitism."'
'Brad said visitors had since been allowed to leave the zoo.'
'"I'm old enough to remember a president who erased 18 and a half minutes and they ran him out of town," said Pence — the reference to the Watergate scandaland former President Nixon being forced into leaving the office of President of the United States. "And Hillary Clinton deleted more than 18,000 emails that were under a subpoena from the United States congress.""Men and women, that doesn't look like politics to me, that looks like obstruction," said Pence.'
'... Mr Trump unloaded every bit of malicious allegation and rumour he had.... He dinged Mrs Clinton's 1970s work as a public defender representing a rapist.'
'If Mr Trump's overarching goal was to offer a performance that would allow him to cobble together an electoral majority on election day, then his sometimes glowering, often aggressive performance will fall far short'
'An Israeli pedestrian and a policeman have died after a Palestinian gunman opened fire from his car in an attack in East Jerusalem, Israeli police say.Six other people were wounded in the attack that began at Ammunition Hill....Reports said the pedestrian was a 60-year-old woman.'
'Britain will be offered a free trade deal before the rest of the European Union if the Republicans win the US presidential election, Donald Trump's trade adviser has said.Dan DiMicco said Britain was "a friend" of America and was leaving the EU for the right reasons.'
'Militants have carried out frequent attacks on the Mandera region, which borders Somalia. They target people who are not from the local area and security forces, Kenyan papers say.'
'A gang of "devious and manipulative" men who raped, trafficked and groomed two teenage girls has been jailed.Ismail Haji, 39, his brother Imran, 36, Ibrahim Kola, 36, and Mohammed Chothia, 37, all from the Kirklees area of West Yorkshire, were convicted at Leeds Crown Court of various sex offences.The four abused a 13 year old and a 15 year old at a flat in Dewsbury in 2014.'
'A teenage girl walking to school was abducted by two men and subjected to a serious sexual assault.The girl, who was wearing a school uniform, was grabbed near Marston Ferry Road and Banbury Road in Oxford at 08:25 BST on Wednesday.She was driven away by two white men in a silver car and found more than three hours later about a mile away, knocking on doors and seeking help.'
