Rumours that Gordon Brown may decline for Labour to put up a candidate seem unlikely. Gordon Brown has already bottled calling one election, to be in a position where he could be accused of bottling a second could be fatal. Also if Labour don't stand then how will they be able to argue against David Davis's position without being asked "if you disagree why aren't you standing?"
There are so many variables here including what if there is a serious terrorist incident in the UK between now and 10 July (the probable by-election date)?
Assuming David Davis wins the by-election, and that does seem more than likely, then what happens? Does he stay on the back-benches? He's a big beast to be out of the shadow cabinet and they need him in there. Would he be given his old role back of shadowing the Home Secretary, he is the longest serving shadow Home Secretary since Roy Hattersly I believe? Will Dominic Grieve be as impressive a performer as Davis Davis?
By the way, I wonder if David Davis has purchased a white suit for the campaign.
I note that David Cameron is quoted as describing David Davis’ move as courageous. reminds me of a Yes Minister episode:
"Sir Humphrey: There are four words you have to work into a proposal if you want a Minister to accept it.
Sir Frank: Quick, simple, popular, cheap. And equally there are four words to be included in a proposal if you want it thrown out.
Sir Humphrey: Complicated, lengthy, expensive, controversial. And if you want to be really sure that the Minister doesn't accept it you must say the decision is courageous.
Bernard: And that's worse than controversial?
Sir Humphrey: (laughs) Controversial only means this will lose you votes, courageous means this will lose you the election."
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