Last year I made some predictions for 2011, how did I do?
Eight UK political predictions for 2011:
1. Labour will make huge gains at the local elections in May, mostly at the expense of the Lib Dems.
Correct
2. Labour will use their gains to start to question the legitimacy of the Coalition to govern, the BBC will provide them with a platform
Correct
3. The Coalition will not last the whole year. The local election results will prove too much for many LibDems
Wrong
4. At least one LibDem MP will join Labour
Wrong
5. Following the Coalition split the Conservatives will govern as a minority government and will thus be blamed for all the economic woes of the country
Wrong on part one but correct on part two
6. The Conservative government will fall and at the subsequent general election Labour will be the largest single party. The resultant horse-trading will be very lengthy
Wrong
7. David Cameron will not survive as Conservative leader beyond the general election
Wrong
8. Nick Clegg will not survive as Lib Dem leader beyond the general election, he will be replaced by Simon Hughes
Wrong
Three/Four foreign political predictions for 2011:
1. Barack Obama's popularity will continue to wane but the US media will rally around
Correct
2. The Republicans in the US Congress will gather strength but Sarah Palin's increasing popularity will cause them problems with the media
Debatable
3. The Irish general election will result in a large increase in votes for Sinn Fein
Correct
4. The South of Sudan will vote in the 9 January referendum to secede from Sudan; the result will be bloody
Correct
Five economic predictions for 2011:
1. The UK economy will worsen: unemployment up, inflation up, growth negative, debt up
Correct: correct, may have topped, wrong, correct
2. The EuroZone economy will worsen: unemployment up, inflation up, growth negative, debt up
Correct: correct, variable, wrong, correct
3. The US economy will worsen: unemployment up, inflation up, growth negative, debt up
Mixed
4. The Pound, Euro and US Dollar will all weaken against the Swiss Franc, Japanese Yen and Chinese Yuan
Correct
5. Gold will increase in price to reach USD 2000 by the end of 2011
Wrong, gold did increase but only to $1800 and then fell back. I did not reckon on market manipulation.
Five BBC related predictions for 2011:
1. The BBC will become ever more blatantly biased in favour of the Labour party, the Conservatives will finally realise how serious a problem this is but do nothing to address the problem
Correct
2. The BBC will continue to push for the withdrawal of British armed forces from Afghanistan
Correct
3. The BBC will continue to vilify Israel at every opportunity and revel in further attacks on Israel
Correct
4. The BBC will continue to favour Islam over any other religion
Correct
5. The BBC will continue to support Barack Obama and push his successes whilst minimising his setbacks
Correct
10 Miscellaneous predictions for 2011:
1. An Islamic jihadist attack in 'the West' will succeed and hundreds will die but still 'the West' will not acknowledge the reality of the threat from Islam
Thankfully not correct
2. Iran will continue its move to become a nuclear power and the UN will take no significant action
Correct
3. The Man Made Climate Change religion adherents will become more vocal in their claims and will increase their hold on the western world's politics, despite the increasing evidence to the contrary
Correct
4. The Sun will reach Solar Max and some of the Earth's communication systems will be adversely affected
Thankfully wrong
5. The wedding of Prince William and Kate Middleton is disrupted by malcontents
Wrong
6. Simon Cowell decides that he now has enough money, gives up his dreadful shows and retires; TV immediately gets more watchable (more of a hope than an expectation, this one)
Unfortunately wrong
7.
?
8. England will get to the final of the Rugby World Cup but lose there
Woefully wrong
9. Andy Murray will not win the Wimbledon title
Correct, but was there much doubt?
10. NotaSheep will continue to blog
Correct
Nostradamus I am not!
Predictions for this year later today or tomorrow...
Eight UK political predictions for 2011:
1. Labour will make huge gains at the local elections in May, mostly at the expense of the Lib Dems.
Correct
2. Labour will use their gains to start to question the legitimacy of the Coalition to govern, the BBC will provide them with a platform
Correct
3. The Coalition will not last the whole year. The local election results will prove too much for many LibDems
Wrong
4. At least one LibDem MP will join Labour
Wrong
5. Following the Coalition split the Conservatives will govern as a minority government and will thus be blamed for all the economic woes of the country
Wrong on part one but correct on part two
6. The Conservative government will fall and at the subsequent general election Labour will be the largest single party. The resultant horse-trading will be very lengthy
Wrong
7. David Cameron will not survive as Conservative leader beyond the general election
Wrong
8. Nick Clegg will not survive as Lib Dem leader beyond the general election, he will be replaced by Simon Hughes
Wrong
Three/Four foreign political predictions for 2011:
1. Barack Obama's popularity will continue to wane but the US media will rally around
Correct
2. The Republicans in the US Congress will gather strength but Sarah Palin's increasing popularity will cause them problems with the media
Debatable
3. The Irish general election will result in a large increase in votes for Sinn Fein
Correct
4. The South of Sudan will vote in the 9 January referendum to secede from Sudan; the result will be bloody
Correct
Five economic predictions for 2011:
1. The UK economy will worsen: unemployment up, inflation up, growth negative, debt up
Correct: correct, may have topped, wrong, correct
2. The EuroZone economy will worsen: unemployment up, inflation up, growth negative, debt up
Correct: correct, variable, wrong, correct
3. The US economy will worsen: unemployment up, inflation up, growth negative, debt up
Mixed
4. The Pound, Euro and US Dollar will all weaken against the Swiss Franc, Japanese Yen and Chinese Yuan
Correct
5. Gold will increase in price to reach USD 2000 by the end of 2011
Wrong, gold did increase but only to $1800 and then fell back. I did not reckon on market manipulation.
Five BBC related predictions for 2011:
1. The BBC will become ever more blatantly biased in favour of the Labour party, the Conservatives will finally realise how serious a problem this is but do nothing to address the problem
Correct
2. The BBC will continue to push for the withdrawal of British armed forces from Afghanistan
Correct
3. The BBC will continue to vilify Israel at every opportunity and revel in further attacks on Israel
Correct
4. The BBC will continue to favour Islam over any other religion
Correct
5. The BBC will continue to support Barack Obama and push his successes whilst minimising his setbacks
Correct
10 Miscellaneous predictions for 2011:
1. An Islamic jihadist attack in 'the West' will succeed and hundreds will die but still 'the West' will not acknowledge the reality of the threat from Islam
Thankfully not correct
2. Iran will continue its move to become a nuclear power and the UN will take no significant action
Correct
3. The Man Made Climate Change religion adherents will become more vocal in their claims and will increase their hold on the western world's politics, despite the increasing evidence to the contrary
Correct
4. The Sun will reach Solar Max and some of the Earth's communication systems will be adversely affected
Thankfully wrong
5. The wedding of Prince William and Kate Middleton is disrupted by malcontents
Wrong
6. Simon Cowell decides that he now has enough money, gives up his dreadful shows and retires; TV immediately gets more watchable (more of a hope than an expectation, this one)
Unfortunately wrong
7.
?
8. England will get to the final of the Rugby World Cup but lose there
Woefully wrong
9. Andy Murray will not win the Wimbledon title
Correct, but was there much doubt?
10. NotaSheep will continue to blog
Correct
Nostradamus I am not!
Predictions for this year later today or tomorrow...
1 comment:
Top marks for your predictions about the BBC which were 100% correct. If you seriously wanted to burnish your Nostradamus credentials, you could write another list of predictions, based solely on the BBC, in fact repeating last year's would do and this I guarantee would give you 100% success again. Sadly, some things in life are entirely predictable.
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