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Monday, 8 June 2009

A National party?

The EU election result in the South East was interesting:
Conservative 35% (0%) 4 MEPs
UKIP 19% (-1%) 2 MEPs
Lib Dem 14% (-1%) 2 MEPs
Green 12% (+4%) 1 MEP
Labour 8% (-5%) 1 MEP

In the South East Labour are a fringe left of centre party trailing the big two Conservative and UKIP and also the two parties vying for third place LibDems and Green. With a little luck this cold be replicated in the upcoming general election to the extent that Labour is overtaken by the Conservatives and the Lib Dems. I forecast most UKIP voters returning to the Tory fold and the Green vote splitting between Lib Dems and Labour. It is feasible that with some ABG (Anyone But Gordon) voting Labour could find them squeezed into third place. Here's hoping...

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