'The subtlety of what took place on Thursday night is profound. The clothes that Cameron was expected to wear during the campaign have been taken from him. It is Clegg that has inspired and cut through to the electorate, and by doing so has put the Tories firmly on the defensive.
Little doubt Team Cameron are having ‘don’t panic yet’ meetings this weekend in an attempt to tweak their strategy. But they need more than that. The Tories need Clegg to ‘crash and burn’ spectacularly during the coming days, and for Cameron to score heavily in the second debate. Without both of these little happenings, he will be in deep trouble.
One more small matter. If the polls do continue to indicate a hung parliament, the turnout is likely to be high, which favours Labour rather than the Tories.'
However Nabidana presents a somewhat contrary view:
'But seriously, there are two more debates and almost three weeks of election campaigning left. And Brown has been holed below the water line, with no actual damage done to the Cameron electoral proposition. And why are we suddenly frightened of UNS where, actually, so many marginal seats have just become available to the LibDems where previously they were distant seconds to Labour.
I believe that Labour happiness at the result from the polls and the debate is misplaced – I suspect that when tabulated against seats, swing to LibDem will be stronger in Labour safe seats than in Conservative / Labour marginals, and that the current ‘hold’ seats for Conservatives are quite safe.
...
Calm the fuck down.'
Which point of view is correct? In three weeks we will know...
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