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Thursday, 11 June 2009

Mocking the leader

My recent pieces about the open mocking of Gordon Brown in the main stream media (MSM) as well the right of centre blogosphere came to my mind as I read this piece from The Telegraph about "Ahmadinejad mocked at World Cup qualifier ahead of election". One passage really caught my eye
"once on the terraces, the supporters quickly showed their respective political colours again. "Bye bye Ahmadinejad," cheered the Mousavi supporters. "He hasn't had a shower for two weeks," they added, a cruel reference to the Iranian leader's alleged personal hygeine problems."

It struck me that we may have less freedom of expression in the UK than people enjoy in Iran. These were thousands of people opening chanting an insult to their President with no repercussions. In the UK people have been made to cover up "Bollocks to Blair" T-shirts.

Maya Anne Evans was arrested for simply standing by the Cenotaph and reciting a list of names. She was prosecuted under the Serious Organised Crime and Police Act. On 7 December 2005, Maya Evans, a vegan chef aged 25, was convicted of breaching the new Serious Organised Crime and Police Act by reading aloud at the Cenotaph the names of 97 British soldiers killed in Iraq. So serious was her crime that it required 14 policemen in two vans to arrest her. She was fined and given a criminal record for the rest of her life.

Also in 2005, John Catt was wearing a T-shirt proclaiming "Bush Blair Sharon to be tried for war crimes torture human rights abuse" and, lower down, "the leaders of rogue states". The stop-and-search form filled out by the police officer stated, under grounds for intervention, "carrying plackard and T-shirt with anti-Blair info". The purpose of the stop and search was stated as "terrorism". So now we know. For the Sussex police, at any rate, an anti-Blair slogan is a ground for suspecting terrorism.

Then there was Walter Wofgang who attended the 2005 Labour Party conference as a visitor and sat at the back of the hall in the part of the hall reserved for visitors. During a speech by the then Foreign Secretary, Jack Straw, in response to Jack Straw's statement that "We are in Iraq for one reason only: to help the elected Iraqi government build a secure, democratic and stable nation", Wolfgang shouted "Nonsense!". Some witnesses claimed he then may have added "That's a lie and you know it!" and/or "Pack of lies!". In full view of the television cameras Walter Wofgang was picked up and forcibly removed from the hall and had his security pass confiscated. Erith and Thamesmead Constituency Labour Party chairman Steve Forrest, who was sitting nearby, was also removed (more forcibly) for voicing his objections to Wolfgang's treatment. When Wolfgang attempted to re-enter the conference later the same day, his pass showed that he had been removed previously, and he was briefly held by police under section 44 of the Terrorism Act.


The United Kingdom used to be described as a beacon of free speech; I fear that beacon was dimmed by Tony Blair and that it burns no brighter under Gordon "no referendum, no election" Brown.




For an interesting article about the legal ramifications of the Walter Wofgang case, do take a read of Marcel Berlins' Guardian article from 2005. Please note that the references to masturbating judges relate to the USA and France and not to the UK's judiciary.

"Tory cuts" v "Labour investment"

That is the "choice" that Labour strategists have decided is the one to push at every opportunity. Gordon Brown pushed the line at yesterday's PMQs and every Minister I have heard interviewed since the weekend has done the same.

To get around the claims and see the truth, I recommend that you look at these four links:
1. Fraser Nelson's piece in The Spectator's Coffee House that explains: "The stated Labour and Tory position on post-election cuts is now identical. The Institute for Fiscal Studies analysis is clear: Budget 09 proposes 7 percent public service spending cuts from Apr11-Apr14, and if you exclude health from the cuts everything else falls by 10 percent."

2. Dizzy Thinks piece today that explains why "What Brown is doing is taking everyone for idiots " and includes this graph that "plots what Brown predicted the level and path of debt would be in his Budget against what actually happened. The dotted line is the direction he said debt was heading in the coming years, whilst the solid line shows the true path of debt based on his own figure for the given year."As Dizzy swrites "Brown consistently did the opposite of what he said he was going to do year on year, either deliberately or because he's just stupid. So when he stands up in Parliament and rattles off projected figures, they should be taken with a pinch of salt anyway."

3. Burning Our Money who point out that "In the most recent Budget, his own Chancellor... gave us the biggest public spending cuts since Labour's last biggest public spending cuts in 1976." and that "So does Gordo not know any of this? Is he really that far gone? No of course not. He is simply telling the British electorate another of his Gigantic Lies. Just like all those lies he told when he was Chancellor himself."
There will be lots of other pertinent articles on the Burning Our Money website.

4. The Today programme interview with Chief Secretary to the Treasury Liam Byrne and his shadow counterpart Philip Hammond. When even John Humphrys all but accuses Liam Byrne of deliberately avoiding admitting the real figures then you know the game is should be up for Labour.

Google results

Google.com - Mandelson "andrew marr" 7 June - This blog is at number 1, ahead of The Guardian and the BBC.

"bizarre fashion trend to show off protruding nipples"

The Mail is perturbed by
"a growing band of women following a bizarre fashion trend to show off protruding nipples."
That link has pictures of Victoria Beckham who may or may not have started to follow this trend. The Mail reports that
"Some have gone so far as to have surgical augmentation, while others are said to wear 'stick-ons'.

Mrs Beckham's spokesman was last night adamant that neither was the case, and that a chilly wind was a more likely explanation. (The Met Office reported that yesterday's temperature was quite mild.)

Others suggested that she had opted for what fashionistas call 'nipplets', which are prosthetic breast covers which enhance size.

Retailers say they have proved extremely popular with British women after being worn by the character Samantha in U.S. comedy drama Sex And The City. "


Rubbish thought I, then I saw the photos of Heather Graham in The Mail and there they were, more prominent nipples.


I then did something that I am ashamed off, I googled - protruding nipples and the quantity of sites returned was beyond belief. The only one I felt able to visit and report on was this from 2005 that inform me that:
"Actress TERI HATCHER has been locked in constant battles with bosses of her TV show DESPERATE HOUSEWIVES - because her nipples are always protruding through her tops.

The 40-year-old actress admits she's a huge part of the problem with her ABC bosses, because her favourite kind of bra is one which shows of her nipples.

She says, "A good bra is a huge struggle to find. I like sheer bras that you can see my nipples through, but ABC has a big problem with those.

"But you know what? Since our show's a hit now, everyone seems to be perfectly happy with them and I haven't been getting any nipple notes. Cheers to my nipples!""

And now back to politics and economics... although I would like to say that I have absolutely nothing against protruding nipples.

Shahid Malik back in the news

Having been cleared by Gordon Brown's adviser on ministerial rules, Sir Philip Mawer, of any failure to comply with the Ministerial code, Shahid Malik was appointed to another government role. On Tuesday the Prime Minister refused to publish Sir Philip’s report, presumably as part of his commitment to open government.

Today I read in The Telegraph that:
"Shahid Malik has admitted that the taxpayer had met the costs of office space in his constituency house and his designated second home in London simultaneously. "
Is there a record for the shortest time between resignations/sackings for the the same Minister? I presume that one of Peter Mandelson or David Blunkett hold the Cabinet record.

Another money-making invasion of privacy

This time not the Labour government but free enterprise that has built a database of a large proportion of UK mobile phone numbers and will allow people to search this database, albeit via an operator, and ask to be put through to a number. The fact that operators will find and dial the target's number and ask whether they are prepared to receive the call does not inspire me with confidence. How do I make my mobile number ex-directory?

Global warming?

Christopher Booker explains:
"It might well be called "the tale of two planets". On one planet live all the Great and Good who have recently been trying to whip up an ever greater panic over global warming, as the clock ticks down to next December's UN conference in Copenhagen when they plan a new treaty to follow the Kyoto Protocol of 1997.

There was, for instance, the three-day gathering organised by Prince Charles at St James's Palace, at which 20 Nobel laureates (including two African winners of the Peace and Literature prizes) listened to speeches from Lord Stern and Prince Charles, before issuing a declaration which compared the threat of global warming to that of all-out nuclear war. They also heard President Obama's Energy Secretary, Stephen Chu, solemnly telling them that if all buildings and pavements were painted white, to reflect the sun's rays back into space, this would be equivalent to taking all vehicles off the world's roads for 11 years.

Then there was the 103-page report launched by Kofi Annan, former UN Secretary-General, on behalf of something called the Global Humanitarian Forum, claiming, without a shred of hard evidence, that global warming is already "killing 300,000 people a year". But Mr Annan himself had to admit that this report, drawn up by a firm of consultants, was not "a scientific study" but was "the most plausible account of the current impact of climate change".

Even this was topped by a report from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology claiming that world temperatures could rise this century by 7 degrees C, "killing billions of people worldwide and leaving the world on the brink of total collapse". According to MIT, these projections are based on new evidence which has come to light since 2003.

Now for the other planet, the one the rest of us live on. Here all the accepted measures of global temperatures show that their trend has been downwards since 2002, declining at a rate that averages to about 0.25 degree per decade. Yet such a fall was predicted by none of those 25 computer models on which the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and the rest of the Great and the Good rely for their theory of runaway global warming. Their computers are programmed to assume that as CO2 goes up, temperatures inevitably follow. But the graph below, where the variation of global temperatures from a 30-year mean is plotted against CO2 levels, shows the two lines clearly diverging, contrary to the theory. In this century, temperatures have fallen as CO2 has risen.

Furthermore, the Arctic ice has failed to disappear, as can be seen from the Crysophere Today website: it is now not far off its 30-year mean. Al Gore's polar bears have failed to drown. The ice in the Antarctic is actually way above its 30-year average. Except in the minds of Kofi Annan, Lord Stern and Prince Charles's assembled worthies, the threatened catastrophe seems not to be happening.

Meanwhile, on the planet where the rest of us live, the prospects for a new treaty in December, which according to an estimate by the International Energy Agency would cost us all $45 trillion, are not looking too hot. The Chinese and the Indians insist that, since all this global warming is the fault of the developed world, they will only sign the treaty if we agree to pay them $300 billion a year. The Africans and South Americans make similar demands.

But herein lies a mystery. Our own wonderfully sensible and honest MPs, it will be recalled, have already passed the Climate Change Act, committing us to restrict our CO2 emissions within 40 years to a level only 20 per cent of where they were in 1990. President Obama has committed the US to the same. Since these targets could only be met by closing down our economies, it is hard to know where we will find the money to pay the rest of the world what it is demanding. The real question we must decide in the years ahead is which of these two planets we are actually living on. "

Wednesday, 10 June 2009

Peter Schiff interviewed now

The Daily Show With Jon StewartMon - Thurs 11p / 10c
Peter Schiff
thedailyshow.com
Daily Show
Full Episodes
Political HumorNewt Gingrich Unedited Interview

I have blogged about Peter Schiff before, here's a recent interview. You will notice the interview is not from CNN or the BBC but The Daily Show on Comedy Central, that says a lot. Note his points about the rise of credit, the real-estate bubble and the coming hyper-inflation.




Thanks to Alex Masterley for the spot.

Margaret Beckett for Speaker?

I read that:
"Labour Party veteran Margaret Beckett looks set to become the next Speaker of the House of Commons, replacing the disgraced Michael Martin who steps down on June 21. According to Labour sources today, Beckett has "all but made up her mind" to stand for election on June 22. "
The interesting thing is that the article includes this:
" Until last Friday ... she was housing minister under Hazel Blears, but with a seat at the Cabinet table - Beckett has barely been off the Labour front bench, whether in opposition or in government, for quarter of a century.

She has been Leader of the House, Foreign Secretary and Environment Secretary. She even holds the distinction of being a former leader of the Labour Party: she was in charge for the interregnum between the death of John Smith in May 1994 and the election of Tony Blair to party leader in July the same year."
Maybe someone could explain to me how a person who has been a Labour minister or shadow minister for longer than any other current MP could be even considered for the allegedly non-partisan role of Speaker. Oh hold on I've just worked it out, she would be expected to be as non-partisan as the current Speaker, Michael Martin. This Labour government really do make me sick.

Yet another Downfall video, worth watching for the last gag alone

Once again the time seems ripe for The London Underground Song


Dedicated to all those who have had to struggle into work because the RMT are on strike AGAIN.

- Language warning -

Can Gordon Brown organise anything?

I read that:
"Glenys Kinnock's appointment as Europe minister descended into farce yesterday after it emerged that she could not do the job because she was still an MEP.

Under EU Parliament rules, Mrs Kinnock is not allowed to serve as a minister in a national Government until she steps down as an MEP on July 14.

Days after accepting Gordon Brown's surprise invitation to join his Government, Mrs Kinnock was forced to admit she was a mere 'acting minister'.

There was speculation in Westminster last night that Mrs Kinnock was reluctant to quit her job as an MEP as she would have to forgo some of her gold-plated pension and golden-goodbye.

The absurd situation is set to cause further embarrassment for Mr Brown as he fights for his political survival.

Downing Street sources last night insisted Mrs Kinnock had resigned as an MEP.

But a European Parliament spokesman said he had no knowledge of her quitting the post. 'We would normally get a formal notification if that had happened,' said the spokesman. 'But we haven't had one.' "

So some questions that Gordon Brown needs to answer:
Has Glenys Kinnock resigned as an MEP?
When did Glenys Kinnock resign as an MEP?
If she has resigned from what date does this resignation take effect?
Is the Prime Minister aware that EU pensions are paid on the understanding that the EU can remove this pension, if in the view of the Commission or the Luxembourg Court, the recipient "fail(s) to uphold the interests of the European Communities".?
Does Glenys Kinnock's EU pension affect her primary loyalty to the UK?

Why I love Boris

Boris Johnson must be the only man who when interviewed by the BBC Today programme says "he bears no animus" rather than animosity. What a man!

How has Barack Obama's stimulus bill worked so far?


I don't recall Robert Peston or Matt Frei explaining this as clearly, or even at all.


Thanks to A Tangled Web for the spot.

Well the current voting system clearly isn't working for Gordon Brown

Gordon Brown seems to be a fan of "lateral thinking"; the Labour Party fails spectacularly at two elections this month so Gordon Brown decides that electoral reform is the answer. The BBC report that:
"Gordon Brown will announce plans to examine a new Westminster voting system, the BBC understands.

Mr Brown will make a statement to MPs on Wednesday about his reform plans in the wake of the expenses scandal.

Ministers have discussed an alternative vote system to choose MPs to replace the first past the post method, BBC political editor Nick Robinson said. "
I am not sure how a new electoral system will solve the expenses problem but then this is not about solving anything, it's about trying to save Gordon Brown and the Labour party from electoral meltdown this year or next.

Gordon Brown's Labour government looks like it will try and change the elctoral system and elect John Bercow to the post of Speaker in order to queer David Cameron's pitch as much as possible; can they be stopped.

Tuesday, 9 June 2009

The BBC first with the truly big stories - Warning it's Obama related

The BBC breathlessly report that:
"US First Lady Michelle Obama and her children visited a London pub during a whirlwind sightseeing trip.

The family dropped into The Audley, in the exclusive Mayfair district, which boasts the "best fish and chips in W1" on a board outside.

Mrs Obama also visited Big Ben with daughters Sasha and Malia.

Mrs Obama stayed in Paris on Sunday for sightseeing after her husband, President Barack Obama, returned to the US following an official visit.

The family spent about two and half hours at the pub, which is round the corner from the US embassy in Grosvenor Square, with Mrs Obama enjoying a meal of sirloin steak and chips and her daughters tucking into traditional fish and chips.

A source said the visit had been as "normal as it can be" and Mrs Obama and the children, who dined in an upstairs private dining room, chatted with staff and customers.

A spokesman for landlords Punch Taverns said staff knew they had a booking for 25 people, but were astonished when Mrs Obama and her daughters arrived.

Cintia Pinto, 24, who served Mrs Obama, said: "We were all speechless when they walked in. I couldn't believe it. But they were all very friendly. Smiling and laughing.

"They made us feel calm. The girls were so sweet and polite. They thanked us every time we brought them something. It was a real honour."

Manager John Gohery added: "It was a real surprise and a pleasure. We've had other famous people coming in, but nothing on this scale.""


Ah so the headline is that she visited a normal British pub, how "woman of the people" like and how unlike that awful Mr and Mrs Bush who would never have done anything so normal and everyday. However the detail is that she and her children were part of a booking of 25 that ate in a "private dining room"; how normal and everyday... And where is this old fashioned normal London "boozer"? Why it is about 400 yards from the front of the US Embassy and is fact one of the two nearest pubs to the US Embassy; I wonder why they went there rather than The Barley Mow on Duke Street?

Assessing the pollsters

Further to my earlier piece, I note that The Times have a piece by Danny Finkelstein asking Roger Alton some penetrating questions about recent ComRes opinion polls; it will be interesting to read the reply, should there be one...

EU election results - two queries/points

Gibraltar Parliament area voted Conservative = 51.9, Labour = 18.5, Lib Dem = 17.7, Green = 3.1, UKIP = 1.4, BNP = 1.3

Area names: I recognise the Welsh areas such as Ceredigion and Meirionnydd Nant Conwy; Welsh being a recognised second language in Wales. But why is there an area called Comhairle Nan Eilean Siar? Surely The Western Isles would be more recognisable for the small proportion of the UK population who do not speak Gaelic. Oh hold I on, I see that:
"It is the only local council in Scotland to have a Gaelic-only name. Western Isles Council was retracted in 1997 under the Local Government (Gaelic Names) (Scotland) Act 1997, meaning that the former Western Isles are now officially named Na h-Eileanan Siar, even in English-language contexts."

Interesting analysis of the EU election results

The Guardian has an interesting EU elections analysis tool. Being The Guadian it's headlined "Exactly how well did the BNP do where you live?" but I've used it to see "Exactly how badly did the Labour Party do in all areas?".


This is a list of the areas in the UK where the Labour Party polled less than 5%, the usual minimum percentage to be acknowledged as anything other than a fringe party:

South Somerset
North Dorset
East Dorset
North Devon
Torridge
West Devon
East Hampshire
Waverley
Wealden
Winchester
East Devon
Mole Valley
New Forest
Chiltern
Hart
Horsham
Christchurch
Mid Devon
Chichester
Test Valley
South Hams
Eastbourne
Mid Sussex
Cotswold
Teignbridge
Surrey Heath
West Berkshire
Worthing
North Norfolk
Mendip
Guildford


This is a list of the areas in the UK where the Labour Party polled between 5% and 10%, a level that would denote a political party as very much a minority party:

Cornwall
Lewes
Tandridge
Huntingdonshire
Uttlesford
West Dorset
South Bucks
South Lakeland
Torbay
Harrogate
Malvern Hills
Cheltenham
West Somerset
Wiltshire
Rother
Shepway
Taunton Deane
Arun
Fareham
Stratford on Avon
Eastleigh
Brentwood
Poole
Purbeck
Elmbridge
Herefordshire
Aylesbury Vale
Reigate & Banstead
Tunbridge Wells
Windsor & Maidenhead
Woking
East Cambridgeshire
Mid Suffolk
Isle of Wight
Vale of White Horse
Wychavon
Tewkesbury
Havering
Ryedale
Montgomeryshire
Maidstone
Wokingham
South Oxfordshire
Rochford
Eden
West Oxfordshire
Sutton
South Norfolk
South Holland
Scottish Borders
Sevenoaks
Richmond Upon Thames
Ribble Valley
Havant
Forest Heath
Isles of Scilly
Ceredigion
Richmondshire
Epping Forest
Maldon
Orkney Islands
North Somerset
Tonbridge & Malling
Harborough
Rutland
South Cambridgeshire
Bournemouth
Aberdeenshire
Epsom & Ewell
Babergh
Fenland
West Lindsey
Chelmsford
East Hertfordshire
Sedgemoor
Meirionnydd Nant Conwy
Kingston upon Thames
Hambleton
Suffolk Coastal
Runnymede
Ashford
South Northamptonshire
Adur
Wycombe
Three Rivers
Gosport
Daventry
Central Bedfordshire
Canterbury
Rushmoor
Solihull
St Edmundsbury
Bromley
Basingstoke & Dean
North Kesteven
Perth & Kinross
Craven
Shetland Islands
Spelthorne
Melton
South Kesteven
Breckland
Bracknell Forest
Boston
Hinckley & Bosworth
South Staffordshire
Broadland
Colchester
Fylde
Angus
Shropshire
Broxbourne
Argyll & Bute
Moray
Cherwell
East Lindsey
Tendring
Oadby & Wigston
St Albans
Bath & North East Somerset
East Riding of Yorkshire
Castle Point
King's Lynn & West Norfolk
Southend-on-Sea
Brecon & Radnorshire
Lichfield


This is a list of the areas in the UK where the Labour Party polled between 10% and 25%, so less than a quarter of those who voted; a level that to my mind would still show that the party was not a party with support even approaching governing levels:

Highland
Portsmouth
Braintree
South Gloucestershire
Derbyshire Dales
East Northamptonshire
Bromsgrove
Wyre Forest
Dacorum Borough
Hertsmere
Caernarfon
Blaby
Weymouth & Portland
Scarborough
North Hertfordshire
Cheshire East
Stroud
Basildon
Rushcliffe
Swale
Kensington and Chelsea
Staffordshire Moorlands
Welwyn Hatfield
Stockport
Clwyd West
Plymouth City
Ynys Mon
Forest of Dean
Monmouthshire
Wyre
Bexley
Waveney
Thanet
Gloucester City
Peterborough
Dover
Newark & Sherwood
Stafford
Brighton & Hove
Conwy
Medway
Bedford
Dartford
Kettering
Selby
Rugby
Milton Keynes
Northampton
Great Yarmouth
Dumfries & Galloway
Carm East & Dinefwr
North East Lincolnshire
Carm West & South Pembs
Swindon
Cheshire West
Preseli Pembrokeshire
Warwick
York
Hillingdon
Cannock Chase
Reddich
North West Leicestershire
South Ribble
Exeter City
Newcastle-under-Lyme
Calderdale
Worcester
Cambridge
Charnwood
Wellingborough
East Staffordshire
Lancaster
Bristol City
Telford & Wrekin
Dudley
Watford
Vale of Glamorgan
Norwich
Tamworth
High Peak
North Warwichshire
Cardiff Central
Rossendale
Broxtowe
Southampton
South Derbyshire
Cardiff North
Northumberland
Hastings
Burnley
City Of Edinburgh
Pendle
Vale of Clwyd
City of Westminster and City of London
Stirling
Ipswich
Thurrock
Trafford
Comhairle Nan Eilean Siar
Croydon
Gedling
Gibraltar Parliament
Gravesham
Carlisle
Sefton
South Ayrshire
Clwyd South
Amber Valley
Delyn
Wrexham
Reading
Walsall
Barnet
Wandsworth
Harlow
Bury
Rochdale
Redcar and Cleveland
West Lancashire
Harrow
Blackpool
Hammersmith and Fulham
Wirral
Gower
Erewash
Crawley
Lincoln City
Darlington
Stockton-on-Tees
Aberdeen City
Brent
Merton
Warrington
Chorley
Oxford
Alyn & Deeside
Stoke-on-Trent
Bridgend
East Renfrewshire
Newport East
Ashfield
Oldham
East Dunbartonshire
Kingston upon Hull
Kirklees
Nuneaton & Bedworth
Swansea West
Derby City
Leeds
North Ayrshire
Stevenage
East Lothian
Cardiff South & Penarth
Allerdale
Dundee City
Doncaster
Barrow in Furness
Hyndburn
Bradford
Redbridge
Hartlepool
Cardiff West
Preston
Bassetlaw
Mansfield
Llanelli
North East Derbyshire
Sheffield
Wakefield
Salford
Falkirk
Enfield
Camden
Newcastle upon Tyne
Luton
Bolton
Newport West
Pontypridd
West Lothian
Chsterfield
Torfaen
Barnsley
Rotherham
Caerphilly
Tameside
Hounslow


Finally, this is a list of the areas in the UK where the Labour Party polled over 25%; a level that to my mind would show that the party was a party with support approaching governing levels (unfortunately my house is in one of these areas):

Clackmannanshire
Waltham Forest
Birmingham
Midlothian
Ealing
Middlesbrough
Halton
Lewisham
Greenwich
Coventry
Wigan
Blackburn with Darwe
Fife
South Lanarkshire
North Tyneside
South Tyneside
Copeland
East Ayrshire
Inverclyde
Nottingham City
Wolverhampton
Lambeth
Renfrewshire
Corby
St. Helens
Southwark
Swansea East
Haringey
Durham
Islington
Islwyn
Gateshead
Neath
Sunderland
Manchester
City Of Glasgow
Sandwell
Liverpool
Bolsover
Barking and Dagenham
West Dunbartonshire
Slough
Cynon
Ogmore
Merthyr Tydfil & Rhymney
North Lanarkshire
Hackney
Rhondda
Blaenau Gwent
Aberavon
Tower Hamlets
Leicester City
Knowsley
Newham


Truly the Labour Party is a National Party!

When is a 48 hour strike not a 48 hour strike?

When it's a strike on the London Underground. The official strike is planned to run from 18:59 this evening and run until 19:00 on Thursday evening. However all London tube users know that services start to run down an hour or more before the strike starts "to ensure trains are in the right places for when the service restarts" and only gets back to normal the day following the resumption of service. In addition because the Underground service start to run down before the end of today's working day, people's work and travel plans are disrupted for the whole of today

So a 48 hour strike really affects people for three whole days. If the RMT wanted to minimise disruption to a 48 hour period then the strike would run from the start of one day to the end of the next - 2 whole days, albeit not 48 hours - more like 45 hours. But then since when did the RMT care about inconveniencing the public? Odd that the start of this strike coincides with an England football match, I seem to remember that happening before...

Both Kinnocks

Paul Waugh's blow by blow account of last night's PLP meeting is interesting in its own right but one part really caught my eye:
"It was left to Lord Kinnock to emerge as Brown’s secret weapon, delivering a five-minute tub-thumping speech that quoted Nye Bevan’s call for "common endeavour" and unity. Many MPs said it played directly to their instincts to stick together, but some joked that it was too shouty, and he sounded "a bit like the Sheffield rally"."
It's like the 1990s all over again - Neil Kinnock, references to Nye Bevan, etc. Hopefully the result will the same as 1987 & 1992 as well.

Assessing the pollsters

The excellent UK Polling Report have a piece entitled "EU elections: How did the pollsters do?" and it makes interesting reading. The conclusion is that
"YouGov performed the best - both their polls in the final week were closer than any competitor, with average errors of 0.83 and 1.23. Second were Populus, who slighly overestimated Conservative and UKIP support, but otherwise performed well with an average error of 1.57

ICM’s average error was 3.16 - this was down to them overestimating Lib Dem support and underestimating UKIP support. As regular readers will know, ICM do tend to produce higher levels of Lib Dem support than other pollsters do, however, in this case I don’t think the error in predicting the Lib Dem vote is part of a wider problem with ICM’s method - rather, I think it’s down to the way ICM and Populus asked the question of how people would vote. ICM prompted with just the main three party names, and then gave supporters of “other” parties a second list of prompts. Populus included minor parties in their main prompt. The results suggest Populus’s approach works better with phone polls (though YouGov’s increased accuracy compared with their 2004 performance suggests it’s the other way round online!)

ComRes’s final poll was furthest out, with an average error of 3.56. Their final poll before the election underestimated Conservative support, and severely overestimated support for Labour and the Green party (for whom the poll was carried out)."

I was reminded of this when I saw the front page of today's Independent newspaper proudly proclaiming that "Johnson would deny Tories outright victory". The piece based on a ComRes poll purports to show that
"Alan Johnson would deny David Cameron an overall majority at the next general election if Labour ditched Gordon Brown and installed him as prime minister, according to a new poll for The Independent.... Under Mr Brown's leadership, the Conservative Party would win an overall majority of 74, according to ComRes. But if Mr Johnson, the Home Secretary, replaced Mr Brown, the Tories would be six seats short of a majority in a hung parliament – raising the prospect of a deal between Labour and the Liberal Democrats to keep the Tories out. Mr Johnson is the only one of eight possible Labour leaders who could prevent an outright Tory victory. Under Jack Straw, David Miliband, Jon Cruddas, Ed Balls, Harriet Harman, James Purnell or Mr Brown, Mr Cameron would win a majority of between 10 and 94, ComRes found. Significantly, Labour would do better under Mr Straw, Mr Miliband, Mr Cruddas and Mr Balls than under Mr Brown. "
It is interesting that even if this ComRes poll was close to the truth (and see above for ComRes's recent performance) the most optimistic result for Labour would be a hung Parliament and Labour having to beg a deal from the LibDems to stay in power.

The truth is that Gordon Brown is a busted flush as Prime Minister, he is despised and ridiculed in equal measure by much of the UK population and it is only the BBC and his spin team keeping the worst of his errors from the public that allows him to have any degree of credibility. Imagine how Gordon Brown would be viewed if his nose-picking, his You Tube video, his "Obama Beach" speech and his being boo'd at the D-Day commemorations were allowed to be broadcast by the state broadcasting service - the BBC. The BBC's pro-Labour bias is an affront to democracy in the UK and needs to be urgently addressed.

The other side of the equation

Often Labour chiefs belittle those Labour MPs who think Gordon Brown should resign by saying that they are the same people who wanted Tony Blair to go, in other words they are serial complainers. Nobody ever points out that the people making this comment are usually the same people who wanted Tony Blair to stay as Prime Minister, in other words they are serial toadies.

Another Downfall video - It's Local Election results time


Another video from ManWiddicombe, excellent stuff.

Great news for the Conservative Party

The news that the Labour party have once again chickened out of confronting Gordon Brown and his heavies must have brought much cheer to David Cameron and his team. The best man to lead Labour, from the Conservatives point of view, is Gordon Brown. The Conservatives know that Gordon Brown has managed to become not only a hated man to much of the Country but also a figure of fun to even more. As I wrote back in late 2007:
"Bad news Gordon but tonight when Graham Norton made a joke about you and the audience laughed approvingly it struck me - you are now officially a figure of fun!

The joke was about a picture of you and your wife looking glum at the Queen and Prince Phillip's 60th anniversary service.

"What happened to him?

Did he get his dream job and discover he's shit at it"


That and a gag about the missing data disks, and a piss take of Alistair Darling -hello Darling, ... Darling, "you're a fucking idiot Darling, you're sacked"


Hatred is bearable for a government, Mrs Thatcher thrived on it. What kills a government is derision, it killed Major's government and it will kill Gordon Brown's. Trust me it will get worse, Graham Norton today, Jonathan Ross tomorrow and it will spread."

Now the laughing at Gordon Brown's faults and mental state has become mainstream; from Rory Bremner's Gordon Brown as Mika song to the open laughing at him on the BBC's Radio 4 "News Quiz", a show normally too pro-Labour to openly mock a Labour leader. It will be interesting to see if that open laughter by the News Quiz team last week will be repeated now that Gordon Brown seems safer as Prime Minister and the Labour party "narrative" is of people backing him.

As John Major found, mocking is a powerful weapon against a Prime Minister, and there is no way back.

The death of Omar Bongo

The BBC reported the death of Gabon's President Omar Bongo will all the respect that you would expect from the BBC for a non-democratic leader. We were told that he "assumed power" in 1967 and we were told in admiring tones that Omar Bongo had been one of Africa's longest serving Presidents. What we were not told was that Omar Bongo had ruled Gabon using violence and corruption and many believe amassed a huge personal fortune from money siphoned off from that raised by Gabon's oil boom. The BBC are oddly reluctant to criticise a black Muslim African leader who has ruled via fear and has stolen money from his people. However the death of a white right of centre leader of a democratic nation is only reported if "context" is given by discussing his faults and possible crimes against his Country. Odd, most odd.

I am aware that the BBC website has articles on the possible crimes of Omar Bongo, but I am referring to the limited radio coverage yesterday.

A task for Alan Johnson

Now that Alan Johnson has got himself settled into the Home Office and is wondering what he should do next, I have a suggestion. In the "interest of community relations" he should ban the malaysian cleric Hussein Ye (or Yee) from entering the UK. Harry's Place has the details about this repugnant man (Hussein Ye not Alan Johnson). Whilst Alan Johnson has his red pen out, he might want to take a look at another speaker at the upcoming Islamic Education and Research Academy (iERA) events, Bilal Philips who makes Hussein Ye look acceptable and who was caught on tape sanctioning underage marriage and defending the death penalty for Muslim apostates.

Monday, 8 June 2009

Rewriting history Nick Robinson style

Here's an extract from Nick Robinson's latest blog entry
"There will be no e-mail. There will be no letter. Not tonight. Perhaps never.

Ever since James Purnell's dramatic resignation from the cabinet there has been what one of those working to unseat the prime minister describes as "a battle of the bodies". It is a battle that Gordon Brown is currently winning.

Not only did no cabinet minister follow Mr Purnell's lead but also few junior ministers have done so."
Why the arbitrary cut-off that only those that might have followed James Purnell count? What about Hazel Blears and Jacqui Smith who left earlier in the week. Not long ago any Cabinet Minister resigning would have been big news, now gone and forgotten.

What about the "few junior ministers" line? How many have resigned in the last week? More than two or three I believe.

Rory Bremner does Gordon Brown as Mika singing a version of "Grace Kelly"



I mentioned this video and have now found it.

All together now:
"I tried to go on the telly,
but my looks were too bad,
now I act like Machiavelli,
I'm essentially mad, mad, mad, mad mad.

I could be Brown,
I could be blue,
I could be violet and cry,
I could be hopeful,
I could be purple,
I could be anything I like,
Gotta be green,
gotta be mean,
gotta be everything more,
why don't you like me,
why don't you like me,
should I head out the door?"


Absolutely brilliant parody.



Here's Mika's original song, which I still quite like:

How bad were the elections for labour?

The FT explains:
"– Labour is now the third party of local government in England, with fewer councillors than the Liberal Democrats for the first time since the First World War

– Labour secured the lowest vote share ever recorded by a serving government in both elections

– Labour fell under 20 per cent vote share for the first time since 1910, when the party was four years old

– Labour controls no county councils

– Labour lost a poll Wales for the first time since the First World War

– Labour have no MEPs in the South West region for the first time ever

– Labour were beaten by four parties in two regions of the country

– Labour recorded an 8 per cent vote share in the South East"

Of course worse than all of that, they still have Gordon Brown as Prime Minister.

Daniel Hannan calls for Gordon Brown to go


Daniel Hannan with a speech asking Gordon Brown to .. "just go". Dan Han is getting a deserved reputation as a rather good speech maker, deservedly so.

harriet Harman and You Gov

What was that all about last night in the BBC election night programme. Harriet Harman seemed to deride YouGov polling on the grounds that their polling had her placed last in the Labour deputy leadership elections and she actually won. Later on there was a communication from YouGov saying this was completely wrong and Harriet Harman humphed and said she'd have to check.

Have you checked your figures yet Harriet Harman?

I have done some digging and I cannot see on what you base your claim. Labour Home reported on 27 November 2006 that
"A new YouGov poll of nearly 2000 voters shows Harriet Harman is the voter’s choice for the next Deputy Leader of the Labour party.

...

Twenty nine per cent of swing voters said that electing Harriet would make them more likely to vote Labour, putting Harriet top and 10 points clear of Hilary Benn in second place. When asked who they would like to see as deputy alongside Gordon Brown, Harriet had the greatest appeal, beating not only Hilary Benn, but also Hazel Blears, Alan Johnson, Peter Hain, and John Cruddas.

Crucially for Labour MPs in crucial marginal seats, Harriet’s lead was stronger amongst two key groups: swing voters and women voters. "
Of course there was some spin i that report so let's look at what UK POlling Report said on the same day:
"The Indy reports a YouGov poll on the Labour Deputy leadership campaign. Since it comes via the Harriet Harman camp, the report predictably paints a very positive picture for Harman. But, I hear the cynics amongst you cry, what do the actual figures say?

YouGov asked two sets of questions about the leadership contenders. The first listed the potential candidates and asked respondents to say how they rated them on a scale of 0 to 10, with 0 meaning respondents felt “very cold & unfavourable” toward them, and 10 meaning they felt “very warm & favourable”. There was also the option of saying they had never heard of the person.

On this first question Harriet Harman was easily the best known of the candidates listed. Only 15% said they hadn’t heard of her, compared to 28% for Hain, 31% for Benn, 32% for Johnson, 38% for Blears and 58% for Cruddas.

This, of course, could also explain why Harman had the highest positive ratings. The figures quoted in the Independent are those for “swing voters” (defined in the normal way, as those people who say there is a fair chance they will change their mind before the next election). The percentage of people who have a positive opinion of Harriet Harman (giving her a score of 6/10 or more) is 24%, followed by Benn on 17%, Johnson on 15%, Hain on 13%, Blears on 7% and Cruddas on 5%. Amongst the public as a whole Hilary Benn is equal with Harman on 17%, followed by Hain 13%, Johnson 13%, Blears on 6% and Cruddas on 4%.

If you take into account net scores, subtracting those who express a negative opinion, then Hilary Benn receives the highest scores with -10 amongst swing voters, then come Cruddas and Harman on -14 (though Harman obviously has a far higher recognition rate than Cruddas), Johnson on -16, Hain on -23 and Blears on -27. Harriet Harman is, interestingly enough, the only candidate whose figures contrast strongly between the public and a whole and swing voters. Her net rating is -23 amongst voters as a whole, but -14 amongst swing voters.

The second set of questions asked how people would vote if each candidate were deputy leader. The question was presented in the terms of a ticket - i.e. leadership teams of “Gordon Brown & Hilary Benn”, “Gordon Brown & Hazel Blears”, etc, etc, so the actual change from now can’t be put down entirely to the deputy leaders, part of it must also be due to Gordon Brown. There are some interesting contrasts between the performances of the different deputy leadership candidates.

I am always wary to some extent of questions that ask people to say if X would make them more or less likely to vote for party Y. I’ve always suspected that some people say X would make them more likely to vote Y when they would actually vote Y anyway, and vice-versa. YouGov normally include, as they have in this instance, the option of saying “No difference - I would vote Labour anyway” and “No difference - I would not vote Labour anyway”, but I still have my doubts. I think people use such questions to indicate if they like a candidate or not. In reality, to what extent does the deputy leader of a party really impact voting decisions?

That aside, looking at the figures 15% of people say that they would be more likely to vote Labour if Gordon Brown was leader and Harriet Harman was deputy. However, another 15% of people say they would be less likely to vote Labour, so the net effect is neutral. This actually compares well to nearly all of the other candidates - Hilary Benn would also have a neutral effect, but everyone else would repel more people than they would attract. Hain’s net score is -6, Blears and Cruddas -8 and Johnson -9. Amongst swing voters Harman does even better, with a positive net score of +5, compared to -4 for Benn, -12 for Blears, -13 for Hain, -17 for Johnson and -19 for Cruddas (though given his low recognition, Cruddas’s figures on this question must be of very dubious worth).

So, while the figures reported in the Indy cherry pick the nicest findings for Harriet Harman, in actual fact the figures as a whole are pretty good for her too. Along with Hilary Benn she is one of the candidates with the most positive perceptions amongst the public, and amongst swing voters she seems to be the most likely to be an electoral asset. The poll also shows that she has the highest recognition rate (substantially higher than the serving cabinet ministers in the survey) which on one hand is a good thing in itself, but on the downside could mean that the other positive findings are all just a result of higher name recognition."


Finally I found this BBC page which actually reports that:
""I want to make sure we have the best leadership team that is best placed to win a fourth term," she tells the BBC News website.

And that, according to YouGov research commissioned by Ms Harman herself, would be a combination of Harriet Harman and Gordon Brown.

Of all the possible permutations of leader and deputy leader, the Harman/Brown dream ticket is the one with most appeal to "swing voters," the poll suggests, with 15% of those surveyed saying Ms Harman would make them more likely to vote Labour, compared to 12% for nearest rival Hilary Benn.

"I will be making that information available to colleagues, so that if for them the most important thing is getting a fourth term then I will be the best candidate," says Ms Harman. "


So what's the truth? Did YouGov ever show Harriet Harman in last place as Harriet Harman claimed last night? Was the YouGov poll actually commissioned by Harriet Harman and used to further her campaign? All very interesting, albeit mainly to the political anoraks like myself.

The new Downfall video - It's EU election time


"It's all over. But if you think I'm going quietly you're wrong. I'm taking the whole f**king country down with me."

UK EU region query

Why is it Yorkshire and The Humber? Surely that should be Humberside as most people in the area tend to live on either side of the Humber not in it.

How to lose your mind

In researching my piece on the former Marxists in the labour cabinet, I had to read through some pieces on the various sects that comprised UK Marxists in the 20th century. Thoroughly bizarre historical differences and almost impossible to understand splits were everywhere. Here's an extract from Wikipedia's entry on "Communist Party of Britain (Marxist-Leninist) that I particularly enjoyed:
"It should not be confused with the Communist Party of Britain, the Revolutionary Communist Party of Britain (Marxist-Leninist), nor with the Communist Party of Great Britain (Marxist-Leninist)."

The Cabinet and their pasts

I have been increasingly irritated over the years by the way that any dalliance with the "extreme right" in a Conservative politician's youth is regularly brought up by the BBC and other media whereas the "extreme left" past of Labour MPs is ignored. Today I decided I had had enough and thought I would track down the Marxist pasts of the Labour Cabinet. In fact what I found was that the current Cabinet splits into six groups - the ex-Marxists, the never done nothing except politics, the ex-media types, the ex-lawyers, the ex-third sector and those who have had a real job before entering politics. So before the pen portraits here is the breakdown:


ex-Marxist or extreme-Socialist backgrounds:
Peter Mandelson
Alistair Darling
Jack Straw
Alan Johnson


Only ever been in politics or related:
David Miliband
Alan Johnson
Hilary Benn
John Denham
Ed Balls
Ed Miliband
Andy Burnham
Baroness Royall
Jim Murphy
Yvette Cooper
Peter Hain
Bob Ainsworth


Media then politics:
Gordon Brown
Peter Mandelson
Jack Straw
Shaun Woodward
Andrew Adonis
Ben Bradshaw


Lawyer then politics:
Alistair Darling
Harriet Harman
Jack Straw
Douglas Alexander


Various third sector jobs before politics:
Tessa Jowell


Jobs in the real world before:
Liam Byrne


So this Labour cabinet comprises just one person who has had a real job in the productive sector, just one. It does however have four lawyers, six ex-media and twelve who have only ever been involved in politics or related areas. There is a degree of double-counting in this list as Jack Straw appears multiple times; I never realised that Jack Straw was in fact a Renaissance Man!


Returning to my original point, the current Labour cabinet has four senior members whose background includes well documented dalliances with the extreme left of British politics; namely Peter Mandelson, Alistair Darling, Jack Straw and Alan Johnson. I have yet to hear the extremist backgrounds of any of these four individuals mentioned by the BBC. It is odd that Peter Mandelson's former membership of the youth wing of the Communist Party of Great Britain is never mentioned, whilst David Cameron and George Osborne's membership of the less relevant socially exclusive student dining club at Oxford University, The Bullingdon Club, is frequently brought up. It is odd that the current Chancellor of the Exchequer's former support for the International Marxist Group, the British section of the Trotskyist Fourth International is never mentioned despite the group, at the time Alistair Darling was a supporter, having completely rejected parliamentary politics and being found to have made "vicious, violent and unprovoked attack on the Police". Surely it is interesting that the man, allegedly, in charge of the UK economy was formerly a Trotskite, a member of an organisation which wanted to destroy that economy. I will leave you to draw up your own comparisons for Jack Straw and Alan Johnson, the men who now head the UK's government departments responsible for law and order & justice.



In the pen portraits, all quotes are taken from their respective heavily edited Wikipedia pages:

Gordon Brown - PhD, dull TV journalist, Labour politician.

Harriet Harman - "Legal officer for the National Council for Civil Liberties and as such was found in contempt of court by Sir Hugh Park in the important civil liberties case Home Office v. Harman 1983 1 A.C. 280, 308 (the conviction for contempt being upheld on appeal), before becoming MP for Peckham in a by-election in 1982." She's the niece of an Earl.

Peter Mandelson - "in 1971 left the Labour Party Young Socialists (LPYS) to join the Young Communist League, then the youth wing of the Communist Party of Great Britain. This move was partly a result of disagreements with the Trotskyist Militant tendency that had just won a majority in the LPYS nationally.... director of the British Youth Council in the late 1970s. As BYC director, he was a delegate in 1978 to the Soviet-organised World Festival of Youth and Students in Havana, Cuba, with Arthur Scargill and several future Labour cabinet colleagues. He was elected to Lambeth Borough Council in September 1979, but retired in 1982, disillusioned with the state of Labour politics. He worked as a television producer at London Weekend Television on Weekend World, forming an enduring friendship with John Birt, then LWT's Director of Programmes, before being appointed as the Labour Party's Director of Communications in 1985...."


Alistair Darling - "Before joining the Labour Party at the age of 23 in 1977, Darling was a supporter of the International Marxist Group, the British section of the Trotskyist Fourth International... He became a solicitor in 1978, then changed course for the Scots bar and was admitted as an advocate in 1984. He was elected as a councillor to the Lothian Regional Council in 1982 where he supported large rates rises in defiance of Margaret Thatcher's rate-capping laws and even threatened not to set a rate at all. He served on the council until he was elected to Parliament. He was also a board member for the Lothian and Borders Police and became a governor of Napier College in 1985 for two years."

David Miliband - "Politics at universities both in England and the US, and started his career as a policy analyst at the Institute for Public Policy Research. At 29, Miliband became Tony Blair's Head of Policy whilst the Labour Party was then in opposition and was a major contributor to Labour's manifesto for the 1997 general election which brought the party to power. Blair made him head of the Prime Minister's Policy Unit from 1997 to 2001, following which Miliband was elected to parliament for the north-east England seat of South Shields."

Jack Straw - "Straw was elected chair of the Leeds University Labour Society at the 1966 Annual General Meeting, when the Society changed its name to Leeds University Socialist Society and withdrew its support from the Labour Party... He qualified as a barrister at Inns of Court School of Law and practised criminal law. From 1971 to 1974 Jack Straw was a member of the Inner London Education Authority and Deputy Leader from 1973 to 1974. ... He served as political adviser to Barbara Castle at the Department of Social Security from 1974 to 1976 and then to Peter Shore at the Department for the Environment to 1977. He then worked as a researcher for the Granada TV current affairs series, World in Action." Then became an MP.

Alan Johnson - "Johnson joined the Union of Communication Workers, becoming a branch official. He joined the Labour Party in 1971, although he considered himself a Marxist ideologically aligned with the Communist Party of Great Britain... A full-time union official from 1987, he became General Secretary of the newly-formed Communication Workers Union in 1993 following a series of union mergers. Before entering Parliament Johnson was a member of Labour's National Executive Committee. During this time he was the only major union leader to support the abolition of Clause IV. Just three weeks before the 1997 general election, Johnson was selected to stand for Parliament in the safe Labour seat of Hull West and Hessle when the previous incumbent, Stuart Randall, stood down suddenly. Randall was subsequently elevated to the House of Lords."

Hilary Benn - "became a Research Officer with the ASTMS and rose to become Head of Policy for Manufacturing Science and Finance. In 1979 he was elected to the Ealing Borough Council where he was Deputy Leader from 1986 to 1990. He was the Labour candidate for Ealing North in both the 1983 General Election and 1987 General Election. On both occasions he was defeated by the Conservative candidate Harry Greenway. When Labour won power in 1997, Benn was appointed Special Adviser to David Blunkett as Secretary of State for Education and Employment. In 1999 he was quickly selected as the Labour candidate for the Leeds Central by-election following the death of Derek Fatchett."

Douglas Alexander - Perpetual student in Scotland and US. "Whilst studying in America, he worked for Michael Dukakis during the 1988 American Presidential Election campaign, he also worked for a Democratic senator in Washington, D.C.. In 1990 he worked as a speech-writer and parliamentary researcher for Shadow Trade and Industry Secretary, Gordon Brown. He returned to Edinburgh to study for an LL.B. at Edinburgh University, where he won the Novice Moot Trophy and graduated with Distinction in 1993. He then qualified as a solicitor. On qualifying as a solicitor he worked for a firm of solicitors in Edinburgh." Then became an MP.

John Denham - "After leaving education in 1977 he became an advice worker at the Energy Advice Agency in Durham, before becoming a transport campaigner with Friends of the Earth in 1978. He was Head of Youth Affairs at the British Council from 1979 until 1983, and was responsible for public education and advocacy for War on Want from 1984 to 1988. He subsequently worked for Christian Aid, Oxfam and other development agencies until his election to Westminster."

Ed Balls - Political geek - "He joined the Labour Party at the age of 16 but while at Oxford joined all the main political societies, including the Conservative Association, so that he could "hear all the speeches at all the political clubs"."

Ed Miliband - "a Labour party researcher and rose to become one of then Chancellor Gordon Brown's confidantes and chairman of HM Treasury's Council of Economic Advisers. Miliband was elected Labour Member of Parliament for the South Yorkshire constituency of Doncaster North in the 2005 general election. "

Andrew Burnham - "researcher to Tessa Jowell MP from 1994 until after the 1997 General Election. He joined the Transport and General Workers Union in 1995. After the 1997 election he was briefly a parliamentary officer for the NHS Confederation from August until December 1997, before taking up the post as an administrator with the Football Task Force for a year. In 1998, he became a special adviser to the Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport, Chris Smith, where he remained until his election to parliament."

Shaun Woodward - "From 1982–90, he worked as a researcher and producer for BBC TV News and Current Affairs on the programmes That's Life!, Panorama and Newsnight...From 1991–2, he was Director of Communications for the Conservative Party." Conservative then Labour MP.

Baroness Royall of Blaisdon - "special adviser to Neil Kinnock, the Leader of the Labour Party, in the 1980s, and she has remained a close ally of his ever since. She sought selection as Labour's candidate for Ogmore in a 2002 by-election. However, the constituency party preferred to choose Huw Irranca-Davies as their candidate. When in 2003 she became head of the European Union's office in Wales there were calls for her to stand down because of her Labour connections."

Tessa Jowell - social worker, charity worker, politician - miraculously protected against too much criticism over her husband's financial affairs, due to her saying she left the mortgage paperwork up to Mr Mills

Jim Murphy - "President of the National Union of Students Scotland, after attending the University of Strathclyde. He was then elected in 1994 as President of the UK NUS, serving until 1996. Under his leadership in 1995, the NUS dropped its opposition to the abolition of the student grant in line with the Labour Party's policies. Subsequently Murphy was condemned by a House of Commons Early Day Motion signed by 17 Labour MPs for 'intolerant and dictatorial behaviour' shortly before being elected to Parliament"

Yvette Cooper - economics researcher, domestic policy specialist, policy advisor, research associate, economic correspondent with The Independent, Labour MP

Liam Byrne - Communications Officer of the University of Manchester Union, founder of the computer company e-Government Solutions Ltd, a provider of e-commerce solutions to government, and is an associate research fellow at the Social Market Foundation. Before working in Parliament, he worked for the multi-national consulting firm, Accenture and merchant bankers, N M Rothschild & Sons, before co-founding a venture backed technology company, eGS Group, in 2000. Between 1996 and 1997 he advised the Labour Party on the re-organisation of Millbank, and helped lead Labour’s business campaign.

Peter Hain - "In 1972, a private prosecution brought by Francis Bennion in regard to his leadership of the illegal direct-action interference with the tours resulted in a ten day Old Bailey trial with the jury failing to agree on three charges and hence he was acquitted on those charges, but Peter Hain was found guilty of criminal conspiracy and fined £200. He appealed against the conviction in 1973. The Court of Appeal dismissed his appeal with costs. As reported in the Daily Telegraph of 23 October 1973, the court said his conviction was "fully justified". Lord Justice Roskill said Hain had not elected to give evidence, adding that "He gave no explanation of his part over the incidents with which he was charged." In 1976 Hain was tried for, and acquitted of, a 1974 bank robbery, allegedly having been framed by the South African Bureau of State Security (BOSS). Two schoolboys positively identified him. A deliberate "double" may have taken part in the robbery. Despite modern DNA techniques and mass fingerprinting now being available no further investigation of this unsolved case is known to have taken place. He joined the Liberal Party and was elected president of the Young Liberals, but in 1977 switched to Labour. The same year, he was a founder of the Anti-Nazi League and he remains a prominent supporter of Unite Against Fascism today."

Bob Ainsworth - "He first became active in politics as a trade unionist at the Jaguar Cars plant in Coventry, where he worked from 1971, and served in many capacities within the Manufacturing, Science and Finance Union there, including four years as the Branch President. During 1982 and 1983, he was a candidate member of the International Marxist Group, but he was never a full member of that organisation. In 1984, he was elected to the Coventry City Council, and was its deputy leader from 1989–1992."

Andrew Adonis, Baron Adonis - "From 1991 to 1996 he was a public policy correspondent, industry correspondent and public policy editor at the Financial Times. In 1996, he moved to The Observer to work as a political columnist and editor. From 1987 until 1991 Adonis was an Oxford city councillor for the Liberal Democrats. In 1994, he was selected by Westbury Constituency Liberal Democrats as their Prospective Parliamentary Candidate, but resigned after about 18 months, without having fought an election. The next year, he joined the Labour Party. During the mid to late 1990s, he was politically active in Islington North... he was selected to contest St George's Ward, Islington Council for Labour in 1998, but withdrew from the process when the education and constitution policy advisor post previously referred to was offered. On 16 May 2005 he was created a life peer as Baron Adonis, of Camden Town in the London Borough of Camden, elevation to membership of the House of Lords making possible his appointment as a government minister without having been elected to Parliament."

Ben Bradshaw - Journalist then Labour MP

Internet Pirates win EU seat in Sweden

The Times reports that
"Sweden’s Pirate Party, which wants an internet filesharing free-for-all, is one of the surprise entrants to the European Parliament after winning 7.4 per cent of the vote."
Internet file-sharing is obviously more important than I thought.

Another good election result

Despite all the hopes of the BBC over the past few weeks and months, the Lebanese did not vote for a Hezbollah lead government. Instead a higher than expected turnout saw a pro-Western coalition win a victory.

I predict two things, one deep disquiet at the BBC at the way that the ignorant, ungracious Lebanese people have turned their back on the brave "fighters" of Hezbollah and also that the Syrians/Hezbollah will assassinate at least one government politician before the end of 2009. They have killed Lebanese politicians before and will do so again.

Someone just wanted to check

I note that this morning someone came to my site having googled: shortest serving prime minister twentieth century

As a result they would have read that
"Sunday, 18 May 2008

Shortest serving Prime Ministers

This information should be of interest to Gordon Brown.

Gordon Brown has currently been Prime Minister for 2 weeks short of 11 months.

This is a list of all the UK Prime Ministers who have served for under a year, I have not shown those whose first term as Prime Minister was less than a year but did serve subsequent terms as I find it impossible to believe that Gordon Brown would ever be chosen to lead the Labour party ever again once he has left office, nor have I included those Prime Ministers who served periods shorter than a year in a subsequent term in office.


Shorter terms have been served by:

George Canning who served just short of 4 months in 1827, he died shortly after taking office

The Viscount Goderich who served just short of 5 months from 1827, he resigned from office because he lacked support amongst colleagues

Andrew Bonar Law who served just just short of 7 months before retiring due to ill-health in 1923, he died six months after leaving office

The Duke of Devonshire who served for 7 and a half months from 1756

The Earl of Shelburne who served for just short of 9 months from 1782

The Earl of Bute who served for just over 10 months from 1762


So Gordon Brown is not the shortest serving UK Prime Minister ever, nor even the shortest serving 20th century UK Prime Minister. If he resigned before the 27th June this year (2008) then maybe he could spin this as follows: "I am the longest serving Prime Minister who has served less than a year as Prime Minister.""

A National party?

The EU election result in the South East was interesting:
Conservative 35% (0%) 4 MEPs
UKIP 19% (-1%) 2 MEPs
Lib Dem 14% (-1%) 2 MEPs
Green 12% (+4%) 1 MEP
Labour 8% (-5%) 1 MEP

In the South East Labour are a fringe left of centre party trailing the big two Conservative and UKIP and also the two parties vying for third place LibDems and Green. With a little luck this cold be replicated in the upcoming general election to the extent that Labour is overtaken by the Conservatives and the Lib Dems. I forecast most UKIP voters returning to the Tory fold and the Green vote splitting between Lib Dems and Labour. It is feasible that with some ABG (Anyone But Gordon) voting Labour could find them squeezed into third place. Here's hoping...

BBC Today programme's political commentators

The Today programme this morning is indulging in a bit of Labour navel gazing, including from 08:52 - "Commentators Jackie Ashley and John Rentoul discuss a disastrous night for Labour in the European elections." So there we go again two left of centre political commentators. Jackie Ashley being the daughter of a former Labour MP. A former worker for the BBC, The New Statesman and The Guardian. And of course the wife of the BBC's impeccably left of centre Andrew Marr. John Rentoul being the chief political commentator for The Independent on Sunday. According to his own Independent newspaper profile "he has written a biography of Tony Blair, whom he admired more at the end of his time in office than he did at the beginning."

So no space for a right of centre voice in this Labour party internal discussion. The BBC would claim that that this is because this is a discussion about the Labour party's performance in the EU elections and elsewhere. That is true but I do not ever remember the BBC restricting discussion of the Conservatives poor electoral performances just prior to 1997 to Conservative commentators.

BBC Today programme this moring - 8 June 2009

John Humphrys seems to be grumpier than normal this morning, I wonder why.

John Humphrys interview with George Osborne was a master-class in BBC/Labour attack interviewing. Cutting across George Osborne over and over again, attempting to slur the Conservative party by alleging all sorts of things about the Conservative party's new partner parties in Poland and the Czech Republic. Generally John Humphrys sounded both angry and dismissive of the Conservative's electoral success and George Osborne did well not to fight back with aggression.

John Humphrys interview with Nick Griffin was similarly angry, attacking the BNP, its elected MEPs and showing a complete lack of respect. I cannot remember John Humphrys being as agitated and angry when interviewing those on the hard-left some of whose views are at least as odds with those of the majority of the British people as are some of the BNP's.

John Humphrys interview with Harriet Harman was a much different exercise. He interrupted much less and more politely including an "I'm sorry" which was rather a contrast to his interview with George Osborne. The tone of the interview was one of anger but more with the circumstances than with the Labour party. He expressed irritation with Harriet Harman, it would be hard not to be, but also there seemed to be great sorrow at the state of the Labour party and the resulting prospect of a Conservative government.

Gordon Brown and the Armed Forces


Some of the British Armed Forces booing Gordon Brown and at least one cry of "Where's the Queen?". Odd that the BBC have managed not to show this video, I wonder why.

Sunday, 7 June 2009

Gordon Brown makes his first appearance in Private Eye in 1984

"Dr Gordon Brown

The new Labour member for Dunfermline East, Dr Gordon Brown, is typical of the brand of mediocre, middle-class careerists who make up an increasing proportion of the undistinguished lobby-fodder and whom Labour habitually returns from Scotland, though he has greater academic pretensions than most.

Brown shot to provincial fame on being elected as Edinburgh University’s first student Rector in the late 1960s and ever since his ambition has outstripped his ability. Although, in a tribute, his old history tutor Dr Paul Addison has stated that Brown was “always more than a swot”, it appears that he lacked certain essential social graces. He never fully recovered from his rejection as suitor by the lovely Princess Marguerita of Romania (who works as a computer programmer in the University’s Computer Department) and ever since has devoted himself obsessively to his political career.

Before becoming Labour’s Scottish Chairman (a meaningless appointment made on the “Buggins’ Turn” principle) Brown worked on a series of current affairs documentaries for Scottish TV which were so excruciatingly dull that he was mercifully taken off the air (he has two brothers in the Scots media).

Once again he has been exceeding his limitations in his new role as a Scots lackey in the outer limits of Kinnock’s kitchen cabinet. A recent Sunday Times article which he had ghosted for the new labour leader had to be withdrawn as “hopeless” by Kinnock’s press officer, Patricia “Harpie” Hewitt.

In June, Brown will enjoy a three-week CIA freebie trip to the USA (he will get $60 a day pocket money while out there.) Kinnock felt obliged to approve this unfashionable hostage to fortune because he himself had been on a similar trip some years ago."
Christopher Silvester proving to be very perceptive back in 1984. It is just a shame that the Labour party couldn't spot Gordon Brown's limitations throughout the rest of the 1980s, 1990s and 2000s. It is also interesting that Gordon Brown has benefited from “Buggins’ Turn” much earlier than when he became Prime Minister.

Harriet Harman or YouGov - who's correct?

Maybe in the morning we will know.

Is Nick Brown possibly the least interesting and effective Labour party spokesman?

I know that there is a lot of competition but on the evidence of tonight's BBC Euro Election programme Nick Brown proved to be even interesting and effective than any other Labour party spokesman?

BBC coverage of the Euro Election results

Even Mrs NotaSheep can hardly believe the tone of the BBC coverage tonight. Any casual observer might think that the Conservatives are having a disastrous evening as their vote is down on the last election and UKIP are taking their votes. David Dimbleby also seems very keen to paint the Conservative's proposed allies in the EU Parliament as racist and/or homophobic. William Hague is doing his best to counter the attacks and dispel Nick Robinson's arguments. Harriet Harman seems to be saying that voters blame everything on the expenses issues not the economy.

Can't watch any more, off to bed.

"Correct as at 5 June 2009"

I see that the Labour Party's Cabinet list has the caveat "Correct as at 5 June 2009", how prudent of them; they must have had a busy couple of days updating this page.

Rory Bremner does Gordon Brown as Mika

The end song tonight was excellent, a parody of Mika's "Grace Kelly" sung by Gordon Brown. Do try and catch a repeat on Channel 4.

Umar Gul (Pakistani cricketer) is a Thermian

Try and catch an interview with the Pakistani cricketer Umar Gul, his voice is just like a Thermian from the excellent film Galaxy Quest.

Alan Sugar as seen by Cassetteboy


I am a huge fan of Cassetteboy, people I give lifts too seem less sure...

Let the train take the strain

The BBC have the story of Chad Vance, 19, who spent two hours squeezed inside a tiny open stairwell in temperatures close to zero, as the legendary Ghan train reached speeds of up to 70 mph (110 km/h) as it travelled across Australia. The BBC have the details...

Odd Google searches

Two Google searches which appeared one above the other in my referrals list that caught my eye today were:
peter mandelson andrew marr
the masturbating challenge
Not a pleasant thought is it...

What are the Iranians up to?

I read that:
"the International Atomic Energy Agency said Iran continued to expand its uranium enrichment program despite three sets of U.N. Security Council sanctions meant to pressure Tehran into freezing such activities.... Drawing heavily on language of previous reports, the Iran document said Tehran has not "cooperated with the agency ... which gives rise to concerns and which need to be clarified to exclude the possibility of military dimensions to Iran's nuclear program." The report noted that Tehran continued to rebuff agency efforts to investigate suspicions the Islamic Republic had at least planned to make nuclear weapons. Without cooperation by the Islamic Republic, the IAEA "will not be in a position to provide credible assurance about the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities in Iran," the report said. The IAEA's Iran report reflected continued expansion both in the terms of the equipment in use or being set up and the amount of enriched uranium being turned out by those machines — centrifuges that spin uranium gas into enriched material. Nearly 5,000 centrifuges were processing uranium gas as of May 31, said the report, while more than 2,000 others were ready for operation. More than nearly 3,000 pounds — 1,300 kilograms — of low enriched uranium had been produced as of that date, said the more than four-page report. That compares to just over 2,220 pounds (1,000 kilograms) mentioned in the last IAEA report in February an amount that experts and U.S. officials subsequently said was enough to process into enough weapons grade uranium for a nuclear warhead."
It is clear to everyone that the Iranian government are trying to produce nuclear weapons. It is clear to many people that the Iranian government want to use such warheads to threaten and maybe destroy Israel. And the reaction of the world? Nothing or next to nothing. Iran is a threat to world peace but it is Israel that is told to restrain itself as it faces possible annihilation.

What were the Syrians up to?

I read
"The U.N nuclear agency on Friday reported its second unexplained find of uranium particles at a Syrian nuclear site, in a probe sparked by suspicions that a remote desert site hit by Israeli warplanes was a nearly finished plutonium producing reactor.... "In order for the agency to complete its assessment, Syria needs to be more cooperative and transparent," said the IAEA in a document that detailed repeated attempts by agency inspectors to press for renewed inspections and documents — all turned down by Damascus.... On Syria, the agency said the newest traces of uranium were found after months of analysis in environmental samples taken last year of a small experimental reactor in Damascus. It already reported a similar finding in February at a separate site — at or near the building bombed by Israel more than two years ago. As in the case of the earlier find, the uranium particles "are of a type not included in Syria's declared inventory of nuclear material," said the report, saying their origin and potential significance still "needs to be understood." It also said Syria continued to deny cooperation with North Korea in building its nuclear program."
Why does none of the major news organisations cover this story? Why does the UN all but ignore the issue of Syria's nuclear plans? Why is Syria given an all but free-ride whilst pressure is endlessly put on Israel?

Vladimir Putin exerts control

Vladimir Putin laying down the law to Peter Mandelson's boating host Oleg Deripaska. As always follow the links, follow the money...

One Labour politician may be investigated for fraud and embezzlement

The Sunday Herald report that:
"LABOUR ACTIVISTS are to take the unprecedented step of calling on police to investigate one of their party's MPs for alleged fraud. Jim Devine, the member for Livingston, will today face his local constituency party over his expenses claims.

The Sunday Herald has a copy of a "round robin" letter, signed by six Labour members in Livingston, which activists say will be handed to Lothian and Borders Police this evening.

It states: "We wish to formally lodge a complaint of fraud and embezzlement against Jim Devine MP."

...

Devine billed the public £2157 for "rewiring" his second home in London, but the invoice for the work contained a bogus VAT number, false postcode and inaccurate address. The name of the so-called firm, Eastern Electrical Ltd, is not registered at Companies House.

The MP also directed £2326 for "joinery" to his friend and local publican Tony Moran out of his office expenses budget. According to the invoice, Moran supplied and fitted 66 metres of "heavy duty" shelving in 2006. However, when the Sunday Herald visited Devine's constituency office, no shelves could be seen.

The revelations prompted Labour chief whip Nick Brown to refer Devine to the National Executive Committee's (NEC) special endorsements panel, dubbed the "star chamber", which will this week decide whether he remains a candidate at the next general election."
Hmmm...

Peter Mandelson on Andrew Marr's programme

Smirk, spin, exude menace; repeat ad nausea.

I am not sure that I could look Peter Mandelson in the face if he was staring me down when I asked him a straight question and he refused to answer my pertinent question. There really is a sense of threat that I find really unnerving whilst watching his interview this morning.

Does anyone believe Peter Mandelson's description that Gordon Brown exhibits "calmness under fire"

Answer the question Peter Mandelson, did you say those words about Gordon Brown?

"I’m not going to comment on Chinese whispers and old emails" or anything about the reshuffle that does not accord with his views.

If you get the chance watch the question about whether Gordon Brown got the Cabinet he wanted and whether Gordon Brown always wanted Alistair Darling to remain as Chancellor of the Exchequer. And see how Peter Mandelson deals with the question.


Peter Mandelson is possibly the best political interviewee I have ever seen, he stays calm at all times whilst exuding just enough menace to disconcert the interviewer. He keeps to his line of thought and argument come what may and is shameless at not answering the question posed and appearing affronted when challenged on this. He manages to put forward the feeling that he is above tittle-tattle and spin when we all know those were some of the foundations of his career. I was seriously impressed by his performance this morning. I may hate the man and what he stands for but I have nothing but admiration for his interview technique.


Here is Peter Mandelson not answering a question and even Geoff Hoon having to admit it.

Who's the liar?

Guido Fawkes claims that
"The Lobby is dismayed that Gordon dares to blatantly lie to them when claiming to possess high moral purpose. "
The Guardian report that:
"Tom Bradby, from ITN, asks Brown, in the spirit of candidness, to admit that he wanted to move his chancellor.

Brown says that's not true.

Bradby says Brown is not being candid. Everyone knew he wanted to sack Alistair Darling."
The Mail reports that:
"The fragility of the Prime Minister's position was laid bare when he proved too weak to move the Chancellor Alistair Darling and install his closest ally Ed Balls in the Treasury - a move widely signalled by Downing Street officials last week."
Andrew Pierce in Saturday's Telegraph writes
"Early in the week Mr Brown's aides let it be known that the new Chancellor would be Ed Balls... who is Mr Brown's closest friend."

And yet at his Press Conference on Friday Gordon Brown Gordon Brown clumsily refuses to answer all the parts the question posed by Robin Oakley that
"(is every Cabinet Minister) in the job they were first offered in this reshuffle? Did any impose conditions for serving in your Cabinet and what difference do you think this bunch of people can make compared with the previous bunch?"
Maybe Peter Mandelson could answer that question on the Andrew Marr programme this morning.

Maybe Andrew Marr could also ask Peter Mandelson about The Mail report that quotes Tony Blair says of Gordon Brown that
'The darkness in his heart and the lies will be his downfall.'

It's not all Gordon Brown's fault

Samizdata's Brian Micklethwait reminds us that Gordon Brown should not be made to carry all of the responsibility for the economic mess that the UK is in. He also reminds us that Tony Blair has to carry a lot of the blame. Here's an extract:
"But what matters to me is not whether Brown is now a doomed and hopeless failure, for clearly he is. But how much more of my country will he quadruple-mortgage? How much more of my country's earth will he scorch?

...

My problem was that I did really believe (and do still believe) that when Blair said that he was not in favour of wrecking my country's finances, he did truly mean it. Time and again, Blair outfaced his party with that very proclamation. I don't believe in ruining Britain, he would shout at his massed ranks of idiot followers. So fire me, he kept saying. And the massed ranks of idiots, despite being enraged by this exasperatingly sensible talk, kept not firing him.

My problem was not that I was wrong to notice these protestations of fiscal virtue, or wrong to consider them significant. Where I went wrong was in understanding their actual impact.

I didn't think that Blair was ushering in any sort of libertarian nirvana, no way. Nor was I relaxed about the damage being done by Blair to the legal system and to the criminal law and to the regulatory regime. Europe was, as it remains, a continuing disaster. But at least, I thought, this time around Labour will not smash up everything economically. But actually, the whole Blair "political achievement" made it possible for Labour to break Britain with a ferocity and completeness that has no parallel in recent British history. The more we trusters trusted Labour not to scorch Britain's earth, the more earth they were able actually to scorch, and this scorching, of course, continues."

A nightmare

Last night I had a nightmare that Gordon Brown was replaced as Labour leader by Ken Livingstone. I suppose I shouldn't have read this from City Unslicker last night.

"Amongst all the talk of Mandelson having gripped the situation, let us observe the familar figure of Ken Livingstone shuttling between the studios, putting in a series of characteristically pugnacious, steely and intelligent ultra-loyalist performances. He's playing a blinder, according to some Labour insiders.

Here's a prediction.

Commissar Ken will be positioning himself assiduously as the authentic voice of sane, electable, never-say-die Labour. He will bag a safe seat (if any there be) in the widespread post-PorkerGate fallout. He will exert himself tirelessly at the GE.

And then ..."

Now that is the stuff of nightmares...